A novel data-driven multi-energy load forecasting model

نویسندگان

چکیده

With the increasing concern on energy crisis, coordination of multiple sources and low-carbon economic operation integrated system (IES) have drawn more attention in recent years. In IES, accurate effective multi-energy load forecasting becomes a research hotspot, especially using high-performance data mining machine learning algorithms. However, due to huge difference utilization between IES traditional systems, is difficult complex. fact, not only related external factors such as meteorological parameters different seasons, but correlation consumption types loads also plays an important role. order deal with strong coupling high uncertainty issues novel data-driven model proposed this paper. Firstly, feature extraction method based Uniform Manifold Approximation Projection (UMAP) for developed, which reduces dimension complex nonlinear input data. Then, considering correlation, combined TCN-NBeats joint prediction loads, aiming improve accuracy through ensemble learning. Finally, numerical case analysis actual campus verifies effectiveness model.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Frontiers in Energy Research

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2296-598X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2022.955851